fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts

American government is designed to have components that are not directly accountable to the public. The crew breaks down Rep. Liz Cheney's loss, what comes next, and who's currently up and down in Alaska. The team also discusses public opinion on gun laws after recent mass shootings in Texas, New York and California. They also discuss the latest developments in the current round of redistricting. We hear about the decade-long relationship between the two of them, one that dates back to the Kennedys arrival in Washington in the mid-50s, and hear fascinating observations these women make about each other. Thats Changing. The crew discusses the value of a bipartisan strategy, the motivations behind it and the likelihood of Congress reaching a compromise. 91.5 Chapel Hill 88.9 Manteo 90.9 Rocky Mount 91.1 Welcome 91.9 Fayetteville 90.5 Buxton 94.1 Lumberton 99.9 Southern Pines All you have to do is click the iTunes button below to subscribe to this podcast. Were still waiting to find out what the deal is, but this focus on slow moving objects in U.S. airspace was kicked off by a Chinese spy balloon that the U.S. shot down earlier this month. In the first "Model Talk" episode of the 2022 midterms cycle, Nate Silver and Galen Druke discuss the factors behind that forecast. No place like 'Nam. Galen speaks with reporter Kaleigh Rogers about how candidates who denied the legitimacy of the 2020 election did in the midterms and what the future of election denialism looks like. apache saddles amarillo texas shockwave treatment for gallstones in the philippines price They also ask whether a recent poll that suggested about 15 percent of Americans believe in the QAnon conspiracy theory is a "good or bad use of polling.". It was a fiendishly clever and massively hyped invention. Maybe its time to get rid of election polls. Then the team debates if a surge of women registering to vote in June could be linked to the Supreme Courts recent abortion decision. What role do Liz Cheney-type Republicans have to play in the future of the GOP (if any)? RSS Loading. In this installment, Jennifer Merolla, a Professor of Political Science at UC Riverside, and Hannah Hartig, a research associate at Pew Research Center reflect on the political climate in the immediate aftermath of 9/11 and whether a similar American consensus is possible today. In the wake of the January 6th attack on the Capitol, academics and journalists have increasingly taken the possibility of future political violence in America seriously. The crew checks in on the California recall election and other upcoming races, and talks about how a Trump endorsement is shaping a Wyoming primary. Local news is disappearing across the country. It was the biggest shift of any demographic group between the two presidential elections and led to some speculation about a possible realignment. On Thursday, the Supreme Court wrapped up its first term with a 6-3 conservative majority on the bench. 1 min read; Jun 05, 2022; Bagikan : parade of homes matterport . How The Federal Reserve Is The Shadow Branch Of The Government, Why Original Predictions About The War In Ukraine Were So Off. Max Fisher, author of the new book, "The Chaos Machine: The Inside Story of How Social Media Rewired Our Minds and Our World," speaks with Galen about the impacts of social media on politics globally and in the U.S. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. NEW TOWN . But that doesnt stop us from talking about what we do know: that Republicans didnt make major gains in the Senate, and that the polls were pretty good this cycle. 450 episodes. They also debate the meaning of a recent poll from Axios that suggests Americans are exhausted. Happy holidays! A message from Martine. In the 2020 election cycle, Georgia found itself at the center of the American political universe. Upload your Podcast as an audio or video file to Type Studio in our menu. You can get between 30 cents to $1.10 for every audio minute, which sums up to $18 - $66 per audio hour. Sept. 25, 2014. negro-leagues-player- ratings. They play a game of "Guess What Americans Think," in which the panelists have to guess Americans' opinions on a wide variety of topics, including Elon Musk, inflation and Britney Spears. Science reporter Maggie Koerth also joins to talk about shifting attitudes on climate change among Republicans. They also discuss the recent trend in Senate candidates refusing to debate each other and why Republicans can't agree on what abortion restrictions to pass. Democrats overperformed in two special elections on Tuesday, including a win in New York's 19th district, which is four points more Republican than the national partisan lean, according to FiveThirtyEights metric. As of Monday, all U.S. troops have withdrawn from Afghanistan following a chaotic evacuation from the country. More Information Location: United States Genres: News & Politics Podcasts Politics News Networks: ABC News (US) Description: This is the second episode. It was his first big national speech since the midterms and a preview of his likely 2024 reelection bid. They also break down what that means for future cases and what it means for the legitimacy of the court overall. Recent polls have sent some contradictory messages, but the long and short of it is that seven races are now separated by three points or less polling average. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. The crew asks whether Biden's approval rating could be boosted by the American Rescue Plan and how popular he'd have to be to avoid a backlash at the midterms. The book is the first big reported account of the 2020 campaign in its entirety and is written by Jonathan Allen, senior political analyst with NBC News, and Amie Parnes, senior correspondent for The Hill. It's a big election week for liberal democracies. The crew discusses what's in the "Freedom to Vote: John R. Lewis Act" and why Senate Democrats have taken it up despite unmoving opposition. The website, which takes its name from the number of electors in the United States electoral college, was founded on March 7, 2008, as a polling aggregation website with a blog created by analyst Nate Silver. The report relies on advanced climate modeling to illustrate where global warming is headed. They also look at the politics of two hot button issues in the Senate and speak with Carlos Odio of Equis Research about how Latino voters are viewing the two parties in 2022. The crew looks at what Americans think about aid to Ukraine one year on, how the public may respond to Sen. John Fetterman's treatment for clinical depression and former President Trump's legal liability in a Fulton County investigation. Democrat Melanie Stansbury won a special election in New Mexico's first congressional district by a 25-point margin last Tuesday, performing better than Democrats did in the district in 2020. Trump Is Setting A Dangerous Precedent For American Democracy 240 views Galen Druke speaks with political science professors Sunshine Hillygus and Patrick Eagan about the history of wedge issues and how they shape U.S. politics. They also scrutinize a new survey that suggests most Americans think "The West Wing" and other political TV shows are reflective of how politics works. They also cover the redistricting process happening around the country after a number of big recent developments. Feb. 25, 2021. info. The crew previews Tuesday's primaries in Georgia as well as contests in Arkansas, Alabama, Texas and Minnesota. President Bidens $2 trillion social spending and climate change agenda is in its most tenuous position yet after West Virginia Sen. Joe Manchin announced that he will not support the Build Back Better Plan. Listen to FiveThirtyEight Politics on Spotify. FiveThirtyEight's political content often includes fact-driven statistical analysis. According to a new poll from the Wall Street Journal, Hispanic voters are now split evenly between the Democratic and Republican parties, just one year after 60 percent voted for Democratic House candidates. And if partisan loyalists were to make their way onto the Fed board, that degree of power could be abused. People are angry and politicians are pointing fingers. FiveThirtyEight's Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux and Nathaniel Rakich discuss the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on Tuesday night's primary elections.Website: http:. 04:58 PM. Galen Druke speaks with POLITICO Europe's Cornelius Hirsch and Clea Caulcutt about the dynamics at play in the French presidential election. They also ask whether the Republican Party can coalesce around an alternative to former President Donald Trump and whether President Bidens recent dismissal of the polls is a good or bad use of polling. From 2008 to 2019, the percentage of people who said they got their news from local papers fell by more than half. ( Businessweek) Plus, they debate the best way to ask Americans about their political identity. The crew also discusses how Americans are responding to the administrations handling of the end of the war. The team also looks at how debates about "Critical Race Theory" entered the culture wars, particularly in schools and state legislatures. Pew Research has released its verified voter survey, looking at how different groups within the electorate voted in 2020. Galen Druke and Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux discuss the messages that Senators sent and whether we were able to glean anything about what kind of Justice Jackson would be. The crew talks about what led to Cuomo's resignation, how New Yorkers feel about his replacement, and what this means for New Yorks 2022 Democratic primary race for governor. Since Jacksons confirmation is the expected outcome, the hearings similar to past ones were more about politics. 10 Wednesday AM Reads. Edit your transcribed text. In light of new data showing union membership at its lowest point since the Bureau of Labor Statistics began counting, they also look at how that decline has shaped U.S. politics. In this installment of Model Talk on the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, Nate Silver and Galen Druke are joined by two climate modelers and authors of the latest IPCC report, Friederike Otto and Baylor Fox-Kemper. Also, CalMatters Politics reporter Laurel Rosenhall and political analyst Paul Mitchell join to discuss the status of the California gubernatorial recall election. (30 for 30, FiveThirtyEight, Radiotopia) and the TED Audio Collective, Good Sport is your guide through an array of stadiums . Ohio Rep. Anthony Gonzalez announced he is retiring from Congress at the end of his term. Then, Equis Research co-founder Carlos Odio joins the pod to break down a new poll that asked Latino Americans which party they are favoring in the midterm elections. Americans' political views oftentimes don't align neatly with a single party, but instead draw on both conservative and liberal positions. Late Wednesday night in a 5-4 decision, the Supreme Court chose not to block a Texas law banning most abortions after the sixth week of pregnancy -- making it the most restrictive abortion law in the country. Our tool analyzes your audio using Google voice recognition. They also check in on the upcoming Virginia governors race and discuss a FiveThirtyEight report about how Congress may have inadvertently legalized THC -- the main psychoactive compound in marijuana. The crew talks about where Americans stand on mitigation efforts, how politicians are responding, and what public health experts are saying about the current state of the pandemic. As Congress considers legislation that would decriminalize marijuana and end the sentencing disparity for crack and cocaine offenses, Galen Druke speaks with FiveThirtyEight contributor Lester Black about what Americans think should be done about drugs and how politicians are responding. In his new book "Aftermath: The Last Days of the Baby Boom and the Future of Power in America," Washington Post national columnist Philip Bump argues that many of the fissures that the country is facing today politically, economically, culturally have to do with the Baby Boomers getting old. Legal reporter Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux speaks with Galen Druke about the Justices' arguments for overturning Roe v. Wade, where the legal debate goes next and how this contrasts and complements American opinion on abortion. Samuel Charap is a senior political scientist at the RAND Corporation and author of the book Everyone Loses: The Ukraine Crisis and the Ruinous Contest for Post-Soviet Eurasia. Galen Druke is the host and producer of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast. BOLIVAR The executive director of the Stark-Tuscarawas-Wayne Joint Solid Waste Management District is going to resign from the position and will then be rehired. Saturday, February 25, 2023. January 23, 2023 Examined What comes next after Texas school shooting? The crew discusses how Liz Cheney and Madison Cawthorn's primaries serve as a test of what the Republican Party and its voters will and wont accept. The crew discusses the Virginia and new Jersey gubernatorial races a week before election day, and guesses how Americans feel about the potential provisions in the Democrats spending bill. In this installment, civil and environmental engineer Daniel Cohan joins FiveThirtyEight's Sarah Frostenson, Maggie Koerth and Galen Druke to discuss why the blackouts occurred, where responsibility lies and how politics responds to these kinds of crises. Kyrsten Sinema's Odds Of Reelection Don't Look Great. Joining the podcast are Andra Gillespie, political science professor at Emory University, Besheer Mohamed, senior researcher at Pew Research Center, and Stacey Holman, the director of PBSs recent documentary series The Black Church.". security jobs paying $30 an hour; fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts The Sporkful production team includes Dan Pashman, Emma Morgenstern, Andres O'Hara, Tracey Samuelson, and Jared O'Connell. This is an unofficial transcript meant for reference. The crew discusses the results of the primary elections in New Jersey and Virginian and looks at the debate playing out between the two parties over how much wealthy Americans and corporations should be paying in taxes. The crew discusses the results of the primary elections in Georgia, Texas, Alabama, Arkansas and Minnesota. FiveThirtyEight's COVID-19 podcast is laser-focused on evidence. Sign up to get unlimited songs and podcasts with occasional ads. heritage commons university of utah. The data behind that evolution is striking. The crew discusses how the other nine Republicans are faring in their bids to win reelection and debate whether CNNs new polling methodology is a good or bad use of polling. The crew asks whether comparisons to former President Donald Trump's own classified document scandal are apt. They also consider whether abortion as an issue will motivate voters in other elections this fall and look at the primary winners in Arizona, Missouri, Michigan and Washington. Election Day in Georgia is just a week away, so the crew shook off their turkey hangover to talk about what to expect in Georgias second Senate runoff in two years. Since January 2021, eleven states have enacted laws that limit how teachers can talk about race and racism in schools and close to 200 bills have been introduced in 40 states. Galen Druke speaks with Equis Research co-founder Carlos Odio about whether that trend continued in the 2022 midterms and what it all means for 2024. The crew discusses the role of the debt ceiling in politics, why it exists in the first place, and the chances of it being abolished altogether. They also ask whether a new poll showing Biden's approval rating at just 33 percent deserves all the attention it's been getting. Georgians handed control of the Senate to Democrats in a pair of dramatic runoffs and voted for a Democrat for president for the first time in 28 years. The U.S. shot down at least three unidentified flying objects over the weekend. FiveThirtyEight Politics Biden Is Set To Be The Next President 2020-11-07 The crew reacts to the news that Joe Biden and Kamala Harris are the projected winners of the 2020 election. They also explain why a dramatic shift among independent women in a recent New York Times poll shouldn't be taken at face value but also shouldn't undercut the poll. 00:14:18 - Federal health agencies asked states to pause in their use of the Johnson & Johnson vaccine while U.S. officials investigate reports of an extre The Rules of the Game podcast discusses and compares democratic institutions from around the world. They also introduce a new FiveThirtyEight collaboration with Ipsos aimed at polling Americans about the issues they care most about in the run up to the midterms. The crew discusses what we've learned from President Biden's first 100 days in office and from his first address to a joint session of Congress. r/fivethirtyeight. They also break down the governor's race in New Jersey and other elections around the country. They also debate whether the AARP is correct in assessing that women voters over the age of 50 are likely to decide the outcome of the 2022 midterms. At the beginning of the millennium, about two-thirds of Americans opposed same-sex marriage, and a third supported it. 30, 2021 How The CDC's Blindspots Complicated The Fight Against COVID-19 By Maggie Koerth and Sinduja Srinivasan Filed under Podcast-19 Jun. Each week, host Jody Avirgan brings you stories and interviews about how data is changing our lives. As we head into the new year and our attention begins to turn to the presidential primaries, we decided to reair our audio documentary series, The Primaries Project. They also consider whether the ensuing confirmation process will impact the countrys broader political environment in a Midterm election year. The crew discusses potential sticking points in the Democrats' infrastructure plan and debates whether it should be considered bipartisan if a sizable portion of Republican voters support it, but Republican lawmakers do not. Editor Chadwick Matlin turns the tables on Galen Druke and asks him questions about what hes learned from covering the 2022 election and his time as host of the podcast. A bipartisan coalition of ten senators, with the support of President Biden, announced a $600 billion infrastructure plan last week. Lastly, the team analyzes how the educational divide is shaping American politics. Listen at itun.es/i67M5bV. OPEC+ announced its cutting oil production by 2 million barrels a day, President Biden is talking about the threat of nuclear Armageddon and shoes keep dropping in the Georgia Senate race. They also try to get to the bottom of whether Americans support the Parental Rights In Education Bill -- or what its critics call the Dont Say Gay Bill -- which Florida Governor Ron DeSantis signed into law last week. Find us at ThisDayPod.com. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. Nate and Galen answer listener questions in this installment of Model Talk. Nate and Galen discuss the latest twists in the midterms and answer listener questions in this installment of "Model Talk." We also look at the future of inflation with economist Kenneth Rogoff. In this installment of Model Talk," Nate and Galen reflect on the many twists and turns of the 2022 campaign so far, including the most salient policy issues and what the final results could tell us about pollsters performance this cycle. The posting for the podcast's freelance audio editor position can be found here. On the final day of COP26, we look at whether these types of international agreements actually shape countries climate policies and whether there are other factors that are more important. They also debate the usefulness of new polling on Americans superhero preferences by partisanship and preview the upcoming Jan. 6 hearings. In 2018, the operations were transferred from ESPN to sister property ABC News (also under parent The Walt Disney Company ). In this late-night installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, Nate Silver and Galen Druke put their Model Talk hats on and discuss the initial results from the 2022 midterms. The crew discusses what high gas prices have meant for politics historically and outline the debates in Washington over how to bring those prices down. Subscribe and listen Also available wherever you listen to podcasts Google Stitcher iHeartRadio Castbox TuneIn With one week left until Election Day, the crew analyzes some of the high-profile races and which issues Americans care about most as they enter the voting booth. FiveThirtyEight Politics Podcast | Free Listening on Podbean App FiveThirtyEight Politics https://feeds.megaphone.fm/ESP8794877317 Follow Share 13.5k Followers 200 Episodes Category: Politics Last Update: 2023-02-21 Claim Ownership Download this theme at theoneamradio.bandcamp.com/track/whatspoint-theme. And lastly, they check-in on the gubernatorial recall efforts in California that are very likely to result in a recall election for Governor Gavin Newsom. On todays Politics Podcast, the crew discusses God, COVID-19, and the midterms. The crew discusses what legal debates are currently playing out, what the decision could mean for the future of Roe v. Wade, and where Americans stand on abortion restrictions in general. The conventional wisdom is that if former President Trump wants the Republican presidential nomination in 2024, it's his. Pollster Kristen Soltis Anderson joins the crew to discuss a new survey that categorizes voters into at least four ideological quadrants and tries to imagine how voters would align if America were a multi-party democracy. In this installment of Model Talk," Nate Silver and Galen Druke discuss the news events and polling that have contributed to that change. They also address concerns that the 2020 Census resulted in an undercount of Latinos. In this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, Smialek argues that over the past century, through successive crises, the Fed has accumulated the power to choose winners and losers across American markets and society on the whole. 2,. The crew discusses how a bipartisan gun control deal was reached and if this unwritten legislation could be passed by the end of the year. The Negro League Stars That MLB Kept Out And Is Finally Recognizing. Then the content will get automatically transcribed. 266, the . The crew discusses the role partisanship has played in Americans' assessment of risk and their behavior during the pandemic. The FBI released nationwide crime numbers from 2020 this week that will likely contribute to the already tense political debate over crime and policing. They also ask whether it's too early to conclude that the leak of a draft Supreme Court opinion overturning Roe has had little impact on the political environment. The Supreme Court Not So Much. Galen Druke and Perry Bacon Jr. speak with political scientist and pastor, Ryan Burge, about how declining American religiosity is shaping our society and politics. They also ask whether the US is in a recession, whether Andrew Yang's third party will succeed and how the DOJ's Jan. 6th investigation is affecting former President Trump. They also debate whether phone or online polling is a better tool for gauging Americans' views on sensitive topics like the death penalty, and they preview a forthcoming report on how FiveThirtyEight's forecast models did in 2020. The crew plays an Independence Day-inspired statistics game and discusses how the most recent Jan. 6 hearing could affect how Americans view former President Donald Trump. FiveThirtyEight contributor Laura Bronner shares what the data can tell us about the ideological direction of the court with the addition of Justice Amy Coney Barrett. Texas has been in a dire situation this week. It was a night of firsts, with the first primaries of 2022 taking place in Texas and President Bidens first real State of the Union speech. They also consider Arizona Sen. Kyrsten Sinema's motivations for registering as an independent and look at the latest polling on a potential presidential primary matchup between Florida Gov. The crew looks to the speeches from the past weekend's Conservative Political Action Conference for indications about where the Republican party is headed. They also ask whether a sentiment analysis suggesting that the press is more negative on Biden than it was on President Trump is a "good or bad use of data.". They also preview next week's mayoral election in Chicago and ask whether a new poll of Arizona's 2024 Senate race is actually telling us anything useful. The crew looks at the issues that have shaped the Virginia and New Jersey gubernatorial races and rounds up some of the other local races and ballot measures around the country. Economics Professor at George Washington University, Tara Sinclair, joins to explain what is going on with the economy and the potential consequences of a spike in prices. The crew debates whether a poll asking Americans which animals they could take on is a fight is a "good or bad use of polling." The crew discusses how Americans are feeling about COVID-19 and what types of restrictions they do and don't support after almost two years. The crew discusses the races to watch in Tuesday night's primaries in Pennsylvania, North Carolina, Idaho, Oregon and Kentucky. By doing so we are missing another important divide, one that may actually run counter to the idea that America is hopelessly conflicted between red and blue. The podcast turns its focus abroad, to Canada and Germany, to see how other democracies' electoral systems work and what cleavages their politics are facing. Earlier this month, the United Nations' Intergovernmental Panel of Climate Change (IPCC) released the first part of its Sixth Assessment Report on the state of climate change globally. They also discuss why gas stoves became such a hot topic of debate on the internet and what the 2024 primary for U.S. Senate in California will look like. The crew discusses what her path to the nomination could look like, given that Trump and Florida Gov. The crew looks at why it took 15 votes to get Rep. Kevin McCarthy elected House Speaker and what that process says about the two years ahead and the GOP more broadly. Today those numbers have flipped. Americans Like Bidens Student Debt Forgiveness Plan. What role do Liz Cheney-type Republicans have to play in the future of the GOP (if any)? It originally aired at the beginning of 2020 and across three episodes we looked at how our presidential primary system came to be, its consequences and how it could be different. Happy holidays! The podcast crew discusses what Rep. Liz Cheney might do next with her message and what an independent bid for president might entail. The crew reacts to Senator Raphael Warnock's win in the Georgia Senate runoff. James Acton is a physicist and co-director of the Nuclear Policy Program at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace. In this installment, Robert Crews, a History professor from Stanford University, joins to reflect on the history of the Taliban and the current political landscape in Afghanistan. They also discuss ranked choice voting and the reasons for delays in New York City's final vote count in the mayoral election. They also analyze a new poll from the University of New Hampshire that shows the states likely GOP primary voters favoring Florida Gov. fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts. They also continue to track the types of candidates former President Trump has endorsed in the 2022 Republican primaries. FiveThirtyEight Politics News Latest Transcripts How To Make Polls Better 240 views about 2 years ago 01:12:44 Galen Druke speaks with two A+ rated pollsters, J. Ann Selzer and Patrick Murray, about how they view the challenges of polling and what can be done about them. How The Federal Reserve Is The Shadow Branch Of The Government,American government is designed to have components that are not directly accountable to the public. Ron DeSantis are the only candidates who currently have sizable support in national polls. The crew previews Californias primaries, which offer unique insight into the divides within the Democratic Party. In this installment, the crew plays a game of midterm trivia and analyzes the press coverage surrounding the latest decline in life expectancy. Tyler's intense research leads to stimulating and surprising . Just another site fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts. And they try to guess what Americans think about love and relationships in a Valentine's Day-themed game. Thirty-six governors seats are up for election this fall and the crew looks at some where full control of state government might be decided by the governors race. Our podcast helps listeners understand what they can be certain about, and what is still unknown. Commentators and politicos have given lots of hot takes on why Democrats did so poorly in Tuesday's election and what it portends for the 2022 midterms. I'm Galen Truk. COVID-19 has pushed Americans into more uncertain territory than most have ever known. Progressive Democrats have struggled to break through in one of the most high-profile elections of the year: the Democratic primary for New York City mayor. Tune in on your preferred podcast platform! Latino voters swung by eight percentage points toward President Trump in the last election, the largest swing of any racial or ethnic group in the electorate. The majority of the coverage did not show signs of bias, such as articles on immigration, midterm elections and the Jan. 6 hearings. The crew discusses why the country responded to the attacks the way it did and how healthy American democracy is today. In this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, the crew discusses God, COVID-19 The Ticket - A Presidential Podcast comes from the Texas Tribune. In this installment, we put that primary in context by looking more broadly at the relationship between urban centers and the Democratic Party. Former FDA commissioner Scott Gottlieb joins the podcast to discuss Americas unpreparedness for COVID-19 and how the country should prepare for the next pandemic.